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Red258
71176.7
6956102.5
7198117.8
Blue340
3572116.1
3940165.9
503170.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273365100200300400500258340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#2
176.72.3
166.0168.3
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
red by 5.9
503
#9
170.84.2
157.5161.7
Auto23.6
Teleop129.3
End18.6
Second
7198
#30
117.81.8
113.2115.0
Auto16.9
Teleop88.9
End11.8
blue by 48.1
3940
#10
165.92.8
155.2158.1
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End29.7
Third
6956
#36
102.51.0
96.797.6
Auto16.4
Teleop77.5
End10.3
blue by 13.6
3572
#35
116.12.4
118.4116.0
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed