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Red457
234154.5
4272148.0
5484140.5
Blue266
2405107.0
45138.5
226153.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351302150200250400450500457266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
154.50.8
148.2148.9
Auto24.2
Teleop113.0
End19.5
red by 1.4
226
#13
153.14.2
141.5145.7
Auto21.4
Teleop110.8
End22.1
Second
4272
#11
148.03.2
136.1139.2
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
red by 9.5
45
#14
138.53.0
130.5133.4
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
Third
5484
#20
140.50.2
138.2137.9
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
red by 33.5
2405
#37
107.01.2
109.6108.4
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed