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Red323
4103143.3
3147125.4
4272148.0
Blue318
3494142.8
3572116.1
292121.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371269100200300400500600323318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#11
148.00.8
145.8146.6
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
red by 5.3
3494
#34
142.80.1
142.0142.1
Auto19.3
Teleop98.0
End26.4
Second
4103
#12
143.31.7
139.6141.4
Auto17.8
Teleop110.1
End16.6
red by 21.7
292
#38
121.62.1
117.5119.6
Auto21.3
Teleop90.7
End12.2
Third
3147
#17
125.41.8
122.3124.1
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.4
red by 9.4
3572
#35
116.10.1
115.2115.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed