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Red246
3176144.4
1529121.6
3865120.0
Blue411
6012118.9
2867120.1
3936129.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351263100200300400500600246411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#19
144.40.0
144.9144.9
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End16.5
red by 15.3
3936
#21
129.10.7
123.0123.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End22.4
Second
1529
#39
121.60.1
122.4122.3
Auto11.2
Teleop99.1
End11.7
red by 1.5
2867
#27
120.10.1
117.8117.8
Auto18.5
Teleop87.6
End19.9
Third
3865
#23
120.01.0
119.0119.9
Auto18.5
Teleop87.7
End13.5
red by 1.1
6012
#26
118.90.2
116.4116.6
Auto17.5
Teleop89.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned