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Red228
5403158.6
4004118.1
6956102.5
Blue378
2405107.0
1747142.2
1501181.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523730100200300500600228378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5403
#16
158.63.5
152.3155.8
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
blue by 22.5
181.02.1
175.2177.3
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
Second
4004
#40
118.10.6
116.4117.0
Auto15.5
Teleop92.6
End10.5
blue by 24.0
142.21.0
139.2140.2
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End7.2
Third
6956
#36
102.51.0
100.9101.9
Auto16.4
Teleop77.5
End10.3
blue by 4.6
2405
#37
107.00.2
106.8107.0
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed