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Red221
503170.8
2867120.1
5403158.6
Blue388
1024180.3
1529121.6
1501181.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327383100200500600221388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#9
170.81.9
168.5170.4
Auto23.6
Teleop129.3
End18.6
blue by 10.3
181.01.4
177.3178.8
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
Second
5403
#16
158.62.3
155.8158.1
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
blue by 21.7
180.31.3
175.5176.8
Auto20.8
Teleop132.6
End26.7
Third
2867
#27
120.12.2
117.8120.1
Auto18.5
Teleop87.6
End19.9
blue by 1.5
1529
#39
121.60.7
122.3121.6
Auto11.2
Teleop99.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed