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Red237
4982133.3
5484140.5
6012118.9
Blue381
4272148.0
4004118.1
7198117.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343295100200400500600237381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#20
140.50.6
140.0140.6
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
blue by 7.5
4272
#11
148.00.6
146.6147.2
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
Second
4982
#29
133.30.2
133.5133.3
Auto15.4
Teleop102.8
End15.8
red by 15.2
4004
#40
118.10.4
117.0117.4
Auto15.5
Teleop92.6
End10.5
Third
6012
#26
118.92.3
116.6118.9
Auto17.5
Teleop89.3
End14.2
red by 1.2
7198
#30
117.80.3
118.0117.8
Auto16.9
Teleop88.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed