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Red377
1024192.3
2867134.5
2171156.2
Blue328
2771164.4
4103157.5
4485143.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369363250300350400450500377328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
192.30.1
192.0192.1
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
red by 27.9
2771
#13
164.40.0
164.4164.4
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End25.8
Second
2171
#22
156.20.1
156.5156.4
Auto19.0
Teleop114.4
End22.2
blue by 1.3
157.50.3
157.2157.5
Auto21.6
Teleop116.1
End18.7
Third
134.50.4
133.5133.9
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
blue by 9.2
4485
#18
143.70.4
143.3143.7
Auto19.2
Teleop108.9
End15.9