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Red330
135155.2
1018166.7
3487155.4
Blue392
829188.0
3940167.1
5188141.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353860100200300500600700330392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.70.1
166.7166.7
Auto23.0
Teleop126.4
End17.3
blue by 21.2
829
#5
188.00.3
186.9187.2
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
Second
3487
#15
155.40.2
155.1155.4
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
blue by 11.8
167.10.5
165.4165.9
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Third
135
#26
155.20.1
155.1155.2
Auto15.6
Teleop118.0
End24.2
red by 13.9
5188
#25
141.40.2
142.2142.0
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0