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Red406
3947124.0
829188.0
4103157.5
Blue253
5944111.7
2171156.2
2960161.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369300100200400500600406253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
188.00.4
176.6177.0
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
red by 26.1
2960
#19
161.81.3
151.3152.6
Auto25.0
Teleop116.8
End16.8
Second
157.50.9
143.3144.1
Auto21.6
Teleop116.1
End18.7
red by 1.3
2171
#22
156.21.4
147.5148.8
Auto19.0
Teleop114.4
End22.2
Third
3947
#28
124.013.6
96.5110.1
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
red by 12.2
5944
#34
111.714.9
84.299.1
Auto15.6
Teleop88.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed