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Red401
1024192.3
3180120.2
3559146.6
Blue211
6451128.8
4982131.2
4381146.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342292100200400500600401211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
192.30.9
180.3181.2
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
red by 45.6
146.81.5
153.4151.9
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
Second
3559
#17
146.615.0
83.498.4
Auto20.9
Teleop115.1
End10.4
red by 15.4
4982
#27
131.20.7
133.3132.6
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
Third
3180
#32
120.215.1
83.198.1
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
blue by 8.6
6451
#31
128.813.7
95.5109.2
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed