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Red335
829188.0
2197109.8
4982131.2
Blue279
2771164.4
6451128.8
5403157.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294343100200400500600700335279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
188.01.1
177.6178.6
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
red by 23.5
2771
#13
164.49.3
137.4146.8
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End25.8
Second
4982
#27
131.20.6
131.1130.5
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
blue by 26.3
5403
#12
157.51.4
157.1155.7
Auto21.7
Teleop115.0
End20.6
Third
2197
#33
109.81.3
117.4116.2
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
blue by 19.1
6451
#31
128.85.9
122.9128.8
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed