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Red326
2867134.5
5944111.7
6451128.8
Blue271
3936130.0
3180120.2
6956113.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291314200250350400450326271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.50.1
123.5123.5
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
red by 4.5
3936
#35
130.00.5
133.5134.0
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End18.2
Second
6451
#31
128.82.3
128.8131.0
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
red by 8.6
3180
#32
120.24.3
126.0130.3
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
Third
5944
#34
111.71.0
113.1112.2
Auto15.6
Teleop88.6
End3.5
blue by 1.3
6956
#23
113.01.5
108.7110.2
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed