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Red378
4008121.4
2960161.8
3940167.1
Blue252
4926120.1
5403157.5
5188141.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351302200400500600378252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.11.0
164.3163.4
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
red by 9.6
5403
#12
157.51.7
155.7154.0
Auto21.7
Teleop115.0
End20.6
Second
2960
#19
161.80.7
154.8155.5
Auto25.0
Teleop116.8
End16.8
red by 20.5
5188
#25
141.41.7
127.0128.7
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0
Third
4008
#21
121.47.8
103.0110.8
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
red by 1.3
4926
#30
120.10.6
118.5117.9
Auto14.5
Teleop93.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed