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Red421
2171156.2
6498128.5
234185.2
Blue109
3180120.2
3947124.0
4008121.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782990100200500600421109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#2
185.22.8
164.0166.8
Auto25.7
Teleop134.5
End27.1
red by 61.3
3947
#28
124.03.1
127.8130.9
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
Second
2171
#22
156.20.8
151.3152.2
Auto19.0
Teleop114.4
End22.2
red by 34.8
4008
#21
121.44.8
117.1121.9
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
Third
6498
#24
128.52.5
121.8124.3
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
red by 8.3
3180
#32
120.22.1
130.3132.4
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed