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Red412
868164.0
4982131.2
4926120.1
Blue192
3936130.0
2197109.8
5010141.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242810100200400500600412192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
164.02.5
136.1138.6
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
red by 22.1
5010
#14
141.96.3
121.8128.2
Auto18.9
Teleop112.1
End10.9
Second
4982
#27
131.20.5
130.5130.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
red by 1.2
3936
#35
130.00.1
134.0134.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End18.2
Third
4926
#30
120.10.7
117.9117.3
Auto14.5
Teleop93.5
End12.3
red by 10.4
2197
#33
109.80.3
115.6115.4
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed