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Red229
6451128.8
1646115.2
829188.0
Blue381
234185.2
2867134.5
6721114.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502840100200400500600700229381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
188.01.0
180.0181.0
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
red by 2.7
234
#2
185.22.9
166.8169.7
Auto25.7
Teleop134.5
End27.1
Second
6451
#31
128.82.0
131.0133.1
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
blue by 5.7
134.50.1
123.5123.5
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
Third
1646
#29
115.20.1
104.4104.4
Auto18.0
Teleop81.6
End15.4
red by 0.6
6721
#20
114.70.8
111.4110.6
Auto19.9
Teleop82.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed