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Red292
5944111.7
1720146.7
3487155.4
Blue390
3940167.1
135155.2
5188141.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693750100200500600700292390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#15
155.46.5
128.5135.1
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
blue by 11.8
167.10.4
163.4163.0
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Second
1720
#16
146.70.8
140.1140.9
Auto20.1
Teleop103.0
End25.3
blue by 8.5
135
#26
155.21.3
145.8147.1
Auto15.6
Teleop118.0
End24.2
Third
5944
#34
111.70.2
112.2111.9
Auto15.6
Teleop88.6
End3.5
blue by 29.7
5188
#25
141.42.6
129.4132.1
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed