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Red291
135155.2
6956113.0
3487155.4
Blue427
4381146.8
4485143.7
3947124.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344303100200400500600291427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#15
155.43.5
143.9147.5
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
red by 8.6
146.80.3
141.8142.1
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
Second
135
#26
155.21.8
149.3151.1
Auto15.6
Teleop118.0
End24.2
red by 11.5
4485
#18
143.71.1
138.3139.4
Auto19.2
Teleop108.9
End15.9
Third
6956
#23
113.00.1
111.6111.7
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End16.5
blue by 10.9
3947
#28
124.02.1
126.5124.4
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed