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Red92
1720146.7
6451128.8
3180120.2
Blue441
1741167.0
4008121.4
1747160.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271376010020050060070092441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#16
146.72.2
146.0148.2
Auto20.1
Teleop103.0
End25.3
blue by 20.3
167.00.9
163.7164.6
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
Second
6451
#31
128.80.0
134.6134.6
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
blue by 31.7
1747
#10
160.63.0
150.9153.9
Auto24.2
Teleop126.0
End10.1
Third
3180
#32
120.20.3
126.5126.1
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
blue by 1.2
4008
#21
121.40.8
121.3120.5
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed