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Red376
4008121.4
2771164.4
6956113.0
Blue134
2197109.8
4926120.1
6498128.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553010100200400500600700376134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#13
164.412.9
103.5116.4
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End25.8
red by 35.9
6498
#24
128.513.7
96.0109.7
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
Second
4008
#21
121.417.5
60.878.3
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
red by 1.3
4926
#30
120.10.5
122.6122.1
Auto14.5
Teleop93.5
End12.3
Third
6956
#23
113.01.1
102.5103.6
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End16.5
red by 3.3
2197
#33
109.80.3
121.2120.9
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed