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Red194
135155.2
5403157.5
4381146.8
Blue390
2867134.5
5188141.4
1741167.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802530100200300500600700194390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5403
#12
157.50.4
158.6159.0
Auto21.7
Teleop115.0
End20.6
blue by 9.5
167.013.6
96.4110.1
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
Second
135
#26
155.21.1
144.1145.2
Auto15.6
Teleop118.0
End24.2
red by 13.9
5188
#25
141.413.6
96.7110.3
Auto16.9
Teleop113.1
End8.0
Third
146.81.7
151.9150.2
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
red by 12.3
134.50.9
120.1121.0
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned