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Red243
4926120.1
2960161.8
3487155.4
Blue336
3180120.2
1018166.7
4485143.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277343100200400500600243336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#19
161.80.7
152.6153.2
Auto25.0
Teleop116.8
End16.8
blue by 4.9
166.71.1
153.0154.1
Auto23.0
Teleop126.4
End17.3
Second
3487
#15
155.49.9
96.5106.4
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
red by 11.6
4485
#18
143.70.6
137.1137.7
Auto19.2
Teleop108.9
End15.9
Third
4926
#30
120.11.4
122.1120.7
Auto14.5
Teleop93.5
End12.3
blue by 0.1
3180
#32
120.212.1
98.1110.2
Auto16.6
Teleop89.6
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed