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Red411
3940167.1
5010141.9
4381146.8
Blue258
6451128.8
6498128.5
2960161.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762930100200500600700411258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.10.1
162.1162.0
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
red by 5.3
2960
#19
161.81.0
159.5160.6
Auto25.0
Teleop116.8
End16.8
Second
146.80.6
142.1142.7
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
red by 18.0
6451
#31
128.82.6
134.6132.1
Auto17.8
Teleop99.6
End7.4
Third
5010
#14
141.90.5
136.7137.2
Auto18.9
Teleop112.1
End10.9
red by 13.4
6498
#24
128.50.8
128.5129.3
Auto20.4
Teleop94.4
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed