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Red462
2867134.5
1024192.3
2197109.8
Blue249
2171156.2
3559146.6
3936130.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341350200250300400450500462249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
192.31.0
187.8188.8
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
red by 36.2
2171
#22
156.21.0
155.5156.5
Auto19.0
Teleop114.4
End22.2
Second
134.51.7
127.4129.1
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0
blue by 12.1
3559
#17
146.61.7
145.4147.1
Auto20.9
Teleop115.1
End10.4
Third
2197
#33
109.81.6
112.4110.8
Auto18.3
Teleop83.0
End8.5
blue by 20.2
3936
#35
130.01.0
133.0131.9
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed