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Red298
3947124.0
3487155.4
1646115.2
Blue368
1018166.7
4008121.4
4982131.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288359100200400500298368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#15
155.42.4
147.5149.9
Auto19.6
Teleop111.8
End25.2
blue by 11.4
166.70.6
164.2164.7
Auto23.0
Teleop126.4
End17.3
Second
3947
#28
124.00.6
124.4123.8
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
blue by 7.2
4982
#27
131.20.2
131.9132.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.1
End9.0
Third
1646
#29
115.22.2
109.5111.8
Auto18.0
Teleop81.6
End15.4
blue by 6.1
4008
#21
121.40.1
120.5120.6
Auto16.8
Teleop87.2
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed