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Red256
5944111.7
3947124.0
1024192.3
Blue468
6956113.0
868164.0
3940167.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328352250300400450500256468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
192.31.7
188.8190.5
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
red by 25.2
167.10.6
162.0162.5
Auto18.1
Teleop121.2
End28.2
Second
3947
#28
124.00.3
123.8123.5
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
blue by 40.1
868
#1
164.03.0
150.9153.9
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
Third
5944
#34
111.71.4
114.5113.1
Auto15.6
Teleop88.6
End3.5
blue by 1.3
6956
#23
113.00.2
111.9112.0
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned