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Red392
4381146.8
2771164.4
3936130.0
Blue370
1741167.0
829188.0
1018166.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265443100200300400500600700392370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#13
164.40.1
163.4163.3
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End25.8
blue by 23.5
829
#5
188.00.8
184.8185.6
Auto22.7
Teleop145.3
End20.9
Second
146.81.1
142.7143.9
Auto18.6
Teleop108.6
End19.9
blue by 20.2
167.01.0
165.9166.8
Auto20.9
Teleop119.3
End28.5
Third
3936
#35
130.01.4
131.9130.5
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End18.2
blue by 36.8
166.70.9
164.7165.6
Auto23.0
Teleop126.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned