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Red451
234185.2
868164.0
3947124.0
Blue211
1024192.3
2867134.5
2171156.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378361250300400450500451211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#2
185.20.2
184.4184.5
Auto25.7
Teleop134.5
End27.1
blue by 7.1
1024
#11
192.30.1
192.2192.3
Auto21.3
Teleop142.0
End27.8
Second
868
#1
164.01.0
160.2161.2
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End28.5
red by 7.9
2171
#22
156.20.1
156.3156.2
Auto19.0
Teleop114.4
End22.2
Third
3947
#28
124.00.2
123.0123.2
Auto19.8
Teleop96.4
End9.1
blue by 10.5
134.50.3
134.2134.5
Auto18.5
Teleop92.9
End24.0