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Red182
3176145.3
3655125.4
7198120.8
Blue260
5484140.4
1720152.6
6498126.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993470100200400500600182260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#22
145.30.4
144.3143.9
Auto20.4
Teleop106.1
End18.2
blue by 7.3
152.60.3
146.4146.6
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
Second
3655
#20
125.40.8
113.3114.1
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
blue by 15.0
5484
#24
140.40.6
140.1139.6
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
Third
7198
#30
120.81.2
118.4119.6
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
blue by 5.2
6498
#25
126.00.1
127.7127.6
Auto19.4
Teleop87.9
End22.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed