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Red233
3947125.6
4926123.3
45133.4
Blue279
6451132.5
4580130.9
4272157.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300327100200400500233279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#31
133.40.5
139.3139.8
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
blue by 23.7
4272
#10
157.11.3
149.3150.6
Auto21.4
Teleop114.9
End23.6
Second
3947
#33
125.60.1
124.7124.6
Auto18.8
Teleop94.7
End13.2
blue by 6.9
6451
#23
132.50.6
128.0127.4
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End14.7
Third
4926
#26
123.30.0
120.7120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop91.8
End17.0
blue by 7.7
4580
#11
130.90.2
121.9122.1
Auto20.2
Teleop96.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed