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Red266
4926123.3
3147138.6
1720152.6
Blue448
3947125.6
829199.2
1741187.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504150100200300500600700266448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.60.4
146.2145.8
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
blue by 46.6
829
#3
199.20.6
188.4189.0
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
Second
3147
#14
138.61.1
128.1129.2
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
blue by 48.4
187.01.3
168.4169.7
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
Third
4926
#26
123.30.1
120.9121.0
Auto18.1
Teleop91.8
End17.0
blue by 2.3
3947
#33
125.60.2
124.6124.9
Auto18.8
Teleop94.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned