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Red339
5944100.0
868184.7
4008126.1
Blue331
3176145.3
5010163.6
5188143.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963470100200400500600700339331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
184.72.0
171.8173.8
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
red by 21.1
163.60.7
144.6145.2
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
Second
4008
#21
126.11.2
121.8123.0
Auto18.9
Teleop87.9
End21.3
blue by 19.2
3176
#22
145.30.4
143.2142.8
Auto20.4
Teleop106.1
End18.2
Third
5944
#34
100.01.7
106.2104.5
Auto15.4
Teleop77.7
End9.0
blue by 43.4
5188
#15
143.40.4
141.1141.6
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed