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Red394
1747171.1
292139.4
6012121.1
Blue235
6451132.5
3147138.6
1646125.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452780100200400500600700394235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.10.7
159.8159.1
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
red by 32.5
3147
#14
138.61.0
129.2130.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
Second
292
#13
139.42.2
127.6129.8
Auto21.8
Teleop102.5
End17.7
red by 6.8
6451
#23
132.50.7
126.9127.5
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End14.7
Third
6012
#28
121.10.3
124.1124.3
Auto17.8
Teleop88.5
End12.8
blue by 4.0
1646
#27
125.11.4
120.1121.5
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed