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Red423
3865116.0
1720152.6
829199.2
Blue265
5403167.2
1529110.3
447149.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3852940100200500600700423265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#3
199.21.0
189.0190.0
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
red by 32.1
167.21.4
163.2164.6
Auto23.0
Teleop121.4
End24.0
Second
152.60.2
145.8145.6
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
red by 3.6
447
#6
149.00.8
138.7139.5
Auto18.4
Teleop111.1
End21.0
Third
3865
#35
116.00.4
118.8119.2
Auto17.0
Teleop86.0
End13.4
red by 5.7
1529
#36
110.30.9
117.0116.1
Auto10.3
Teleop86.9
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed