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Red232
6498126.0
3180121.0
3176145.3
Blue471
3494136.5
4580130.9
1741187.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2694030100200300500600232471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#22
145.30.0
142.8142.7
Auto20.4
Teleop106.1
End18.2
blue by 41.7
187.01.6
169.7171.3
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
Second
6498
#25
126.00.2
126.7126.4
Auto19.4
Teleop87.9
End22.5
blue by 10.5
3494
#17
136.51.5
138.5137.1
Auto17.2
Teleop94.5
End26.9
Third
3180
#29
121.00.6
119.2118.6
Auto16.4
Teleop83.1
End24.9
blue by 9.9
4580
#11
130.91.2
122.9124.2
Auto20.2
Teleop96.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsEarned