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Red187
3655125.4
447149.0
1646125.1
Blue394
4272157.1
1741187.0
5944100.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813720100200500600700187394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#6
149.00.6
139.5140.1
Auto18.4
Teleop111.1
End21.0
blue by 38.0
187.02.1
171.3173.4
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
Second
3655
#20
125.40.9
115.7116.6
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
blue by 31.7
4272
#10
157.10.6
154.1153.5
Auto21.4
Teleop114.9
End23.6
Third
1646
#27
125.11.1
121.5122.6
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End18.3
red by 25.1
5944
#34
100.01.9
102.9101.0
Auto15.4
Teleop77.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned