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Red470
5010163.6
3947125.6
1720152.6
Blue292
5484140.4
45133.4
3180121.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372276100200400500600470292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.61.4
146.1147.5
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
red by 23.2
5484
#24
140.40.7
136.6135.9
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
Second
152.60.1
145.6145.5
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
red by 19.2
45
#31
133.40.5
140.1139.6
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
Third
3947
#33
125.60.0
125.6125.5
Auto18.8
Teleop94.7
End13.2
red by 4.6
3180
#29
121.00.5
118.6118.1
Auto16.4
Teleop83.1
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed