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Red383
868184.7
3176145.3
461147.0
Blue354
3865116.0
1747171.1
7198120.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370267100200300400500600383354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
184.70.5
176.3176.8
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
red by 13.6
171.10.8
159.1159.9
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
Second
461
#12
147.01.2
139.8141.0
Auto19.5
Teleop109.0
End19.9
red by 26.2
7198
#30
120.80.6
119.7119.2
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
Third
3176
#22
145.30.7
142.6143.3
Auto20.4
Teleop106.1
End18.2
red by 29.2
3865
#35
116.00.1
119.6119.5
Auto17.0
Teleop86.0
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed