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Red179
6451132.5
3947125.6
71170.4
Blue380
1741187.0
292139.4
45133.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348359200250300400450179380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#18
170.40.1
179.3179.2
Auto20.8
Teleop126.5
End21.9
blue by 16.6
187.02.4
173.4175.8
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
Second
6451
#23
132.51.1
128.0129.1
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End14.7
blue by 6.8
292
#13
139.42.1
132.1134.2
Auto21.8
Teleop102.5
End17.7
Third
3947
#33
125.61.1
125.5126.6
Auto18.8
Teleop94.7
End13.2
blue by 7.8
45
#31
133.40.0
139.6139.7
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsMissed