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Red327
5484140.4
4272157.1
4926123.3
Blue452
5403167.2
3147138.6
868184.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281401100200500600700327452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#10
157.10.2
153.7153.5
Auto21.4
Teleop114.9
End23.6
blue by 27.6
868
#2
184.70.8
176.8177.6
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
Second
5484
#24
140.40.5
135.8136.3
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
blue by 26.8
167.20.2
166.3166.4
Auto23.0
Teleop121.4
End24.0
Third
4926
#26
123.30.2
122.3122.1
Auto18.1
Teleop91.8
End17.0
blue by 15.3
3147
#14
138.61.5
131.6133.0
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned