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Red290
829199.2
1646125.1
45133.4
Blue218
3176145.3
5484140.4
5944100.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972600100200300500600700290218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#3
199.20.3
188.0188.3
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
red by 54.0
3176
#22
145.30.1
144.4144.3
Auto20.4
Teleop106.1
End18.2
Second
45
#31
133.40.7
138.5139.3
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
blue by 7.0
5484
#24
140.40.3
140.5140.1
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
Third
1646
#27
125.11.3
115.2116.5
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End18.3
red by 25.1
5944
#34
100.01.9
111.7109.8
Auto15.4
Teleop77.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed