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Red537
3180121.0
7198120.8
292139.4
Blue374
4580130.9
3655125.4
1501172.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503820100200300500600700537374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
139.41.2
121.6122.7
Auto21.8
Teleop102.5
End17.7
blue by 33.4
172.81.1
181.0182.1
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
Second
3180
#29
121.01.1
120.2119.1
Auto16.4
Teleop83.1
End24.9
blue by 9.9
4580
#11
130.90.2
122.1121.9
Auto20.2
Teleop96.6
End12.7
Third
7198
#30
120.80.6
117.8118.4
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
blue by 4.6
3655
#20
125.40.6
112.6113.3
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed