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Red251
6012121.1
3487156.7
3147138.6
Blue491
1720152.6
6451132.5
3655125.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320351100200400500600251491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#16
156.70.4
155.9156.3
Auto19.4
Teleop115.6
End21.8
red by 4.1
152.60.5
148.7149.2
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
Second
3147
#14
138.61.0
135.8136.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
red by 6.1
6451
#23
132.50.8
129.9130.7
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End14.7
Third
6012
#28
121.11.0
123.3122.3
Auto17.8
Teleop88.5
End12.8
blue by 4.3
3655
#20
125.41.7
121.0122.7
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned