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Red117
45133.4
5188143.4
6498126.0
Blue450
5010163.6
461147.0
1747171.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2324230600800117450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#15
143.41.2
141.6142.8
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End18.5
blue by 27.6
171.11.6
164.2165.9
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
Second
45
#31
133.41.5
136.9135.4
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
blue by 30.2
163.61.8
157.9159.8
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
Third
6498
#25
126.00.1
126.5126.6
Auto19.4
Teleop87.9
End22.5
blue by 21.1
461
#12
147.01.3
144.3145.6
Auto19.5
Teleop109.0
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed