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Red179
6498126.0
3655125.4
5944100.0
Blue275
6012121.1
45133.4
6451132.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093180100200400500600179275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6498
#25
126.00.6
126.6126.0
Auto19.4
Teleop87.9
End22.5
blue by 7.4
45
#31
133.42.0
135.4133.4
Auto19.4
Teleop93.8
End17.2
Second
3655
#20
125.42.6
122.7125.4
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
blue by 7.2
6451
#23
132.51.9
130.7132.5
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End14.7
Third
5944
#34
100.00.3
99.7100.0
Auto15.4
Teleop77.7
End9.0
blue by 21.1
6012
#28
121.11.2
122.3121.1
Auto17.8
Teleop88.5
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed