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Red421
71170.4
5010163.6
3487156.7
Blue274
292139.4
4926123.3
5403167.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408297100200500600700421274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#18
170.41.5
172.7171.2
Auto20.8
Teleop126.5
End21.9
red by 3.2
167.20.1
167.4167.3
Auto23.0
Teleop121.4
End24.0
Second
163.61.7
159.8161.4
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
red by 24.2
292
#13
139.40.8
138.2139.0
Auto21.8
Teleop102.5
End17.7
Third
3487
#16
156.70.1
156.3156.2
Auto19.4
Teleop115.6
End21.8
red by 33.4
4926
#26
123.30.8
122.1122.9
Auto18.1
Teleop91.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed