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Red382
3494136.5
5188143.4
3147138.6
Blue312
447149.0
3559134.4
3176145.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336338250300350400450382312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#15
143.40.1
142.8142.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End18.5
blue by 5.5
447
#6
149.02.2
145.7147.9
Auto18.4
Teleop111.1
End21.0
Second
3147
#14
138.60.4
136.8137.2
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
blue by 6.7
3176
#22
145.30.1
145.3145.4
Auto20.4
Teleop106.1
End18.2
Third
3494
#17
136.50.1
136.0136.0
Auto17.2
Teleop94.5
End26.9
red by 2.1
3559
#32
134.40.9
135.2134.4
Auto19.5
Teleop103.1
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed