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Red256
4272157.1
461147.0
7198120.8
Blue382
1720152.6
4008126.1
1501172.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317378100200400500600256382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#10
157.11.0
155.6156.6
Auto21.4
Teleop114.9
End23.6
blue by 15.7
172.80.6
175.1174.5
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
Second
461
#12
147.01.2
145.6146.8
Auto19.5
Teleop109.0
End19.9
blue by 5.6
152.61.7
149.2150.9
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6
Third
7198
#30
120.80.8
119.9120.7
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
blue by 5.2
4008
#21
126.10.6
125.4126.1
Auto18.9
Teleop87.9
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned