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Red373
1555112.0
1741187.0
1747171.1
Blue303
829199.2
5484140.4
4580130.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3573120200400600800373303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.01.3
182.3183.6
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
blue by 12.3
829
#3
199.21.1
197.1198.2
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
Second
171.11.5
165.9167.3
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
red by 30.7
5484
#24
140.40.9
138.9139.8
Auto16.9
Teleop109.8
End15.1
Third
1555
#19
112.00.1
112.1112.0
Auto14.1
Teleop84.9
End14.4
blue by 19.0
4580
#11
130.91.5
128.9130.4
Auto20.2
Teleop96.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed